Currencies  |  January 07, 2013 17:12:15

Fiscal reef temporarily solved Fiscal reef temporarily solved

Last day of the old year, as well as the introduction of 2013 belonged fiškálnom negotiations on the reef. The agreement in this field was finally reached, no is just a very partial solution. While Democrats agreed to it, is to win a major Republicans and now they may still hold the U.S. economy in check through the negotiation of an increase in the ceiling dlhového to tell us the nearest two months ahead. There will be Republicans at the forefront of your boss so old-new Boehnerom enforce spending cuts and especially for reducing spending on health care, which is in the eye tŕňom Republicans already very long.

Surprisingly Fed hawk

Negotiations for fiškálnom reef but overshadowed Minutes of the December meeting of the FOMC. On him the central bankers agreed that the Fed will extend time limit the purchases of mortgage securities also on federal bond purchases. Minutes from this meeting but has brought a different look to the Fed. While in December read as Bernanke as prepared for further stimulus Minutes showed that some members of the Fed sees room for purchase only during this year, and often was for limiting the pace of purchases before the end of the year.

2012 vs. 2,013

While the year 2012, as zapamätáme year when it was consolidating the role of central banks as helpmates governments in stimulating the economy, the 2013 can be a removals excessive stimulus currently in circulation Fedo. The ECB will have is still a lot of work with the Spanish workaround questions.Madrid is can still ask for help and BoJ again fixes it, how to effectively fight the deflation.

NFP with an excellent result

That is not the withdrawal of incentives to also inconceivable, could well data from the U.S. labor market published on Friday. NFP ended up with quite a good result of 155 thousand. jobs created compared with expectations of 152 thousand. Achieving the unemployment rate to 6.5%, which would, according to the Fed should start downloading incentives, but so far does not look real. Approach on this level, but may again call for it to Bernanke again reassured the market that, despite the vocabulary of some members of the loose monetary policy will stay in force. The fight between a hawk in býkmi FOMC this year will therefore be similarly monitored around with by that sharply as the debt ceiling fight between Republicans and Democrats.

View on today

Weeks after NFP tend to be traditionally marked by macroeconomic prázdnejším calendars and exception is not even this week. Today were published from the eurozone flax Sentix investor sentiment data and PPI data. Eurozone will defend the honor until Thursday at a press conference Draghi ECB. Today month Treasury bills auction, we expect to Germany, France and the Netherlands, but this is a landscape nucleus, where the auctions are not interested in the market too. After the sample data NFP euro managed to grow up to almost 1.31 and chart your daily Fridays candle looks like a hammer, but we see that the current euro more robust decreases. Since the stock market remains high and slides 1.30 is quite strong, today we see an opportunity for speculation about the reflection from this level.Australian as well as New Zealand dollar is also high and the Fed neočakávame anyone today who could speak would shortly be aggressive removals stimulate and support the dollar. Therefore, today we could see a bounce up. Given the empty calendar but we expect more closer trade zone.


Author: John Benaki | TRIM Broker, as | Trading on exchanges TRIM Broker

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