World markets  |  January 10, 2013 17:28:27

Investor sentiment determined mainly short term / BIG EXPERT - foreign markets: a week from 7 First 2,013


Beginning of the year, yet carries an extremely good atmosphere. It's the sequence of several events, of which the most important being the agreement that U.S. policymakers concluded five minutes after twelve, when early in the morning the first day of the year decided that extend the validity of tax relief for another two months, and the United States will not fall začátkem year from the fiscal cliff.

Although politicians gained just two months of extra time, the reaction in the markets was overwhelming. The U.S. S & P500 index during the two days increased by 4.6%, which is roughly the increase, which many economists had predicted for the entire 2013.The dollar strengthened sharply on most currency pairs and the volatility in the markets has seen one of the biggest crashes in history, when the barometer index VIX, during the same two days fell through about 33%. Encouraged plus a doubling of bond purchases U.S. central bank, the new year begins to pump the markets monthly total of 85 billion dollars, and investors began to buy back a large risky assets and pumping in money markets, which until then lay aside cash.

The beginning of us, then showed just how intolerant nervous investors, but also as a key factor for them is a short-term horizon. Taking these two facts into account and look ahead one to two weeks, would have to conclude that no risks are not currently in sight and markets can happily continue to grow.Back in February, however, apparently on the table again start returning topic fiscal cliff, which is also a bonus add the need for further increase in the U.S. debt ceiling. It was February, therefore could prove best month for possible correction.

Jaroslav Brychta, X-Trade Brokers


Expert opinions on the future development in selected foreign markets monitored through indices and comparison with the Czech capital market (PX) in the next month and a half, a week from 7 First 2013th


Experts estimate for the period of one month

Pointer
Hodn.
4th First
Diameter
Median
Change
in%
Interval
Growth
Decrease
PX
1 062,47
1 059,80
1,060
ˇ -0.25
1 050 - 1 076
2
3
Dow Jones (U.S.)
13 435,21
13 466,60
13520
^0.23
13240 - 13550
4
1
NASDAQ (U.S.)
3 101,66
3 110,20
3,115
^ 0.28
3 000 - 5200
3
2
FTSE 100 (UK)
6 089,80
6 103,40
6,100
^ 0.22
5950 - 6250
3
2
DAX (Germany)
7 776,37
7 760,40
7,800
ˇ -0.20
7660 - 7817
3
2
Nikkei 225 (JPN)
10 688,11
10 741,60
10758
^ 0.50
10 550 - 10 900
4
1


Experts estimate for the period of 6 months

Pointer
Hodn.
4th First
Diameter
Median
Change
in%
Interval
Growth
Decrease
PX
1 062,47
1 114,40
1,097
^ 4.89
1075 - 1220
5
0
Dow Jones (U.S.)
13 435,21
13 676,20
13781
^ 1.79
13200 - 13900
4
1
NASDAQ (U.S.)
3 101,66
3 183,60
3,200
^ 2.64
3050 - 3250
4
1
FTSE 100 (UK)
6 089,80
6 212,40
6,210
ˇ -7.84
6150 - 6289
5
0
DAX (Germany)
7 776,37
7 846,40
7,900
^ 0.90
7 500 - 8050
4
1
Nikkei 225 (JPN)
10 688,11
10 768,20
10870
^ 0.75
10300 - 11050
3
2

Rating this week performed:

  • Menčík Thomas, George Šimara - CYRRUS
  • Libor Bucek, Jan Mach, Milan Nedbálek - FINANCE Zlín
  • Patrick Hudec - Generali PPF Asset Management, a fund manager společnost
  • Karel Handbag, Miroslav Hlavoň - CAPITAL GRANT
  • Jaroslav Brychta - X-Trade Brokers

The tables contain a summary of the estimates of experts in the list. The column "Actual value" represents the value of the monitored indices (Friday's closing value), from which experts in their estimates came out. With this value, the estimates of experts after a period of one to six months, compared to evaluate success. "Median" is a number that is in the middle the size of a structured set of estimates and "Interval Estimates" lists the minimum and maximum estimate file.Columns "Increase / Decrease" indicate the number of experts assume that the index of the period under consideration, given the current value rises or falls.
Note: Estimates are in the form of non-binding opinions with regard to the expected development in the next one month and a half year. The fact, however, may substantially differ from the estimates of experts. Experts even Kurzy.cz assume no responsibility for these differences.

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Náladu investorů určuje především krátkodobý horizont / BIG EXPERT - zahraniční trhy: týden od 7. 1. 2013

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