Currencies  |  January 22, 2013 23:18:17

TIP for Wednesday: Brexit threatening GBP

BoJ adopted Abe's 2% inflation target and endorsed unlimited quantitative easing. Enough. Uncapped QE has had to pay until next year, how long is the validity of the current program. Investors and after removal of the daily peak at 90.14 USD / JPY turned steeply below the 89.00 level with daily at 88.35 and the Minimoys current daily loss of around 1%. We expect, therefore, before any further attempt prelomenie level of 90.00 USD / JPY continuing with the correction with the potential prelomenia slide to 88.00.

Strong Rise in the morning Daxue raised market concerns. The slump followed and EUR / USD below 1.32 level, from where it went out excellent results ZEW index with 7.2 points compared to an expected 6.2

Joy lasted until 16:00 and publication sales of U.S. existing home. The numbers surprised grief negatively. Sales of existing homes in the U.S. in December declined by -1% to 4.94 million homes sold. Despite this decline are absolutely medzimesačnému sales numbers for December (4.94 million), the second best result since November 2009.

Importantly on those numbers, for us, was that refute our presumptions on the removal of factors safe harbor of U.S. dollar. EUR and GBP so still retain their status as risk currencies, albeit significantly weakened. Demonstrates a weak reaction against the USD strengthening of Asian currencies after by both numbers, sales of existing homes. EUR / USD and GBP / USD so again today oscilujú their opening values ??around 1.3310/20 and 1.5820/40. Outlook for the EUR / USD remains steadfast from the beginning of the week with a business zone of 1.32 to 1.34 in piatkových IFO numbers.

GBP fate lies in the hands of UK Prime Minister David Cameron, who has tomorrow recite his long-awaited speech on cooperation of Great Britain and the European Union. This should according to unofficial information, we can hear the doobedných hours, probably not until after the minutes of the BoE januárového meeting.

Content of this report, the plan will be repatriation of some powerful rights from Brussels back to London. Needless to forget that in the UK citizens to strong pressures by invitation or zotrvaní referendum on leaving the EU and in 2017 or 2018th

Analysts agree on the negative economic and marketing study's UK of a possible departure from the EU. Accordingly, investors in such a situation náznakoch GBP generously. This whole situation got out of British exit keyword phrase and its truncated Brexit tag.

Cameron to his a dictionary to decide whether or Feeding Brexitu libre space opens to a further weakening of the level below 1.58 GBP / USD, or finish their scrolls diplomatically and with the profit for the queen.

Author: Martin Moravčík | TRIM Broker, as | Trading on exchanges TRIM Broker

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TIP na stredu: Brexit ohrozuje GBP

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