Currencies  |  January 23, 2013 15:24:40

SP500 at tope, get the record

In the U.S. earnings season continues in full swing and according to Bloomberg the company give up to 75% of the 93 companies SP500 index, posted by a corporate results for 4Q, outstripped market expectations. These include behold, Google and IBM, which comforters businessmen yesterday after closure of the stock market. Today will be mostly waiting on the results of Apple, which will publish its results after the close the stock market.

Expected profit from it to action at $ 13.55 versus a gain of $ 13.87 a year ago. This means that, on an annual basis will gain less. A year ago, the company prospered mainly in connection with the death of Steve Jobs, which attracted customers for this tag. Apple currently has a month also on offer excellent facilities, but the competition has also beware and Tablets and Smartphones excellence already doing Samsung as well as LG or HTC.


Apple would market expectations should be overcome, but probably we will see margins decline, since the production of new technologies, it is becoming more expensive and reduces the profit margin of the company. Shares of Apple but observed a significant decline during the previous quarter, and therefore even worse outcome does not necessarily mean that the stock will go down more sharply to below $ 500. From this level is to become a strong support and for špekulantov an interesting level to purchase. Shares of Apple are considerably prepreané and also ripe for the correction. Today's results should therefore be able to help you to grow to shares. Month a year ago stood at only 425 USD vyššom slight profit, no outlook for Apple's next term, always positive.

Comparison of profits over time is also possible to make in SP500 index. It reached its peak in October 2007 at 1,565 points. From your current level of the index is away this maximaand by only 5%, so the historical peaks are the way. As but as compared to 2007 changed profitability index? This year, the profits of companies in the benchmark based on analysts should reach a level of one trillion dollars. It is up to 31% more than when the index reached its maximum. Even if the shares not have their current PE increased, stocks would only thanks to grow profits on those maximaand.

The stock market is spoken as a stratenej decade since 2000, when the index reached its maximum level at 1,527 points. What but then the profitability index? Then it was 57 USD (EPS is measured as earnings per share index SP500), who in 2007 was a gain of 91 USD.This year is expected to gain SP500 index at 125 USD. So whom shares is essentially zero movement, profitability could grow significantly.

It happened ever been such a thing? History shows that, not once. Excellent chart from Jim Paulsen of Wells Capital Management Company shows that since 1945, this development has occurred twice. First time in the period from 1945 to 1950 and then from 1968 to 1982. But always provided the scope for further growth in the shares and paradoxically only minimal growth of revenue. How this can be explained? Just so that growth has been driven by growth shares expansion ratio of PE. This means that investors believe started to shares and subsequently one dollar profit started won considerable much more than before. It can thus be return back the trust in the stock market? Certainly yes. The stock market has many problems, but also his Tyla Fukai also a good wind from multiple directions.That the shares are in your final maximách immediately does not necessarily mean that the market drops again.

Author: John Benaki | TRIM Broker, as | Trading on exchanges TRIM Broker

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