Currencies  |  January 24, 2013 13:39:19

China produces the warehouse

IMF yesterday finally released a lower outlook for growth of world GDP in 2013, although as always, all have their numbers and projections. IMF in October, thinking that we will grow by 3.6%, currently sees it at 3.5%. The World Bank published its views of the same year for the same world and see it on the growth of about 2.4%, a decrease of 3.0% vision. Knife. World GDP has a volume of approximately $ 70 trillion., One percentage point means $ 700 billion, which is the volume of the Swiss GDP (or 7x Slovakia). So the global economy this year will grow by 2 or 3% plus or minus Switzerland. The IMF has traditionally been at the forefront of a Europe-(Lagarde France) and has probably tend to be more positive. But even the Europeans are not entirely consistent, and as an example we can mention just France, which maintains that although the hitherto grew, zero pace and view your Germany decreased by half (to 04%), under the Fifth Republic will grow over Paris Germany (0.8%) and IMF predictions (growth of 0.3%) is ignored. So all we have our projections and those we are not. And even if we grow what was, let's let the reality of his cross.

The main engine of world growth in China today published its survey of the manufacturing sector, which positively shocked the best result in the last two years. However, the problem is that this month shows stronger growth in 1Q2013, but we do not see a strong orders, before replenishment of stocks. Operate more realistic new records of Japan's balance of payments deficit, which triggered a volley of new values ??USDJPY, which sounded from the Japanese Parliament. Current government says about level 100 (market under 90), with growth to over 110 can be a problem for the economy. Hopefully, we will keep the politicians in line and starts a new round of competitive depreciation of currencies.Because only recently sounded the Eurogroup, the euro is strong Dake, while the ECB then quickly countered that do not. And a couple of weeks we did not have the expressions of Washington that the Asian economies, weak exchange oberajú U.S. jobs. ETC.

America's Republicans yesterday successfully cleared the U.S. debt ceiling to three months, which can significantly attenuate the risk until May, whereas it produces sufficient time for the endless argument over who will pay what taxes and who will get the money shared. And how many. But joy male bovines skazil largest component of the S & P 500 Apple, which explicitly months did not publish bad results, but it ruined too large expectations. Earnings were slightly below expectations and the first time since 2003, profits declined year on year. There are concerns about competition and rising costs, and so the company got action from the lowest level in the last year.

Today we saw mixed data from the euro area (French and weaker again encouraging from Germany), which caused greater volatility, but eventually European shares are also approximately euro, where they were in the morning. So probably to Tomorrow's IFO from Germany could finally outline the way forward market.

U.S. stocks closed it again yesterday on new maximách but intraday situation does not look so encouraging. The most important events on had caused the double peak and a sharp downward correction. Therefore, the level of 1491 seems like a strong rezistnecia and if they've broken down the level in 1484, opening the space to drop to the level of the 1475th USA Today nečakáme of bland vital data, len leading indicators and new applications of the labor market.

Author:Thomas Swimmer | TRIM Broker, as | Trading on exchanges TRIM Broker

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