Research (Investicniweb.cz)
Macroeconomics  |  January 29, 2013 07:22:52

The macroeconomic outlook for 2013



Unemployment, inflation, the real estate market. Macroeconomic projections for 2013 put the 3rd Investment Forum for the good Jaromir Shingle (Chief Economist of Citibank), Martin Kupka (Senior Analyst CSOB), Petr Budinský (Vice-Rector VSFS) and David Navratil (Czech Savings Bank's chief economist).

Positive news coming from the European Union, the United States and emerging economies. Although the crisis has not been overcome, it seems that the risk of disintegration of the euro zone is over. The macroeconomic outlook for 2013 is so optimistic than a year ago. I sounded mouth-renowned economists to 3 Investment forum.

Last year was a particularly important and difficult because it looked way out of the crisis. After many summits and solutions in Europe and the U.S. defined the direction in which the economy will take. If it is good or bad, only time will tell.

"I'd bet on the dollar," said the forum Jaromir Shingle, chief economist at Citibank. His colleague from the Czech Savings Bank David Navratil disagreed with him. "The United States will continue to deal with budget problems," he predicts.

For the dollar, the euro, rather than vice-rector and decided VSFS Peter Budinský, but a better investment, according to him, Canadian or Australian dollars, or gold as a "safe anchor."

Emerging Markets

Attractive investment analysts expect the situation in emerging economies. "I would look around for mutual funds in the BRIC countries," recommends major CSOB analyst Martin Kupka. Jaromir Šindel predicts growth in Brazil 4% compared to 1% last year. "I will come in China acceleration of growth, but by the end of the year will fade," he continues in the forecast.

In connection with massive support from the government at the beginning of the year we can expect the growth of the Japanese economy. In contrast, investments in the Chinese markets requires attention not only economic but also political context. "China has great potential, but you must be able to monitor what is going on there," says Martin Kupka. Such an approach also requires investments in countries such as Indonesia.

Peter Budinský sees as an interesting investment also Mexico Territory, Australia, Turkey and South Korea. "One attracts what does not. I like Latin America," supports alternative direction and Jaromir Sindel.

As in 2013, to invest in shares? Be inspired by Czech investment professionals
As in 2013, to invest in shares? Be inspired by Czech investment professionals

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