Vladimír Urbánek (Kurzy.cz)
Macroeconomics  |  January 29, 2013 17:01:51

U.S. - Consumer confidence in January fell below all estimates and is the lowest since November 2011

According to statistics from the U.S. Conference Board consumer confidence index fell in January to 58.6 points, compared with December's 66.7 points, the lowest since November 2011.
Market estimated an average decline to 64 points.

Sub-index of current conditions in the market fell to a three-month low at 57.3 points compared to December's 64.6 points. Index of future expectations for the next six months fell to 59.5 points compared to December's 68.1 points.

The proportion of respondents estimating growth in the number of jobs in the next six months fell to 14.3 points compared to December's 17.9 points. The January figure is the lowest since December 2011. The proportion of respondents indicating ample job opportunities fell to 8.6% from December's 10.8%.

The proportion of respondents expecting revenue growth fell to 13.6%, the lowest since October 2011.
The percentage of respondents planning to buy a car dropped to 10.1%, the lowest since April 2012.

The proportion of households expecting a rise in interest rates this year rose to 49.9%, the highest since August 2011.

The decline in trust and many expectations are mainly expected negative effect of tax increases in family income. Uncertainty also raises delaying agreement on raising the debt ceiling looming ever mugging government deficit over the fiscal cliff.

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