Investiční bankovnictví (Komerční banka)
Currencies  |  February 07, 2013 08:24:00

ECB meets today

In major markets yesterday was relatively calm. Was published only a few macroeconomic indicators of the markets rather waited for today's ECB meeting. The common European currency continued its slight correction when he wrote against the dollar about half a percent and closed at the interbank market, slightly above the $ 1.35 / EUR.

December's German factory orders pleasantly surprised when mom grew by 0.8% and thus slightly exceeded market expectations (0.7%). Although this increase was not able to offset a significant decline in November (-1.8% m / m), but from the perspective of the entire final quarter, the German orders increased by 0.8% q / q. This represents a promising performance promise for German industry at the beginning of the new year.

Today we will see from Germany December industrial production. Market consensus expected a modest monthly growth of 0.2%, our colleagues from SG but believes in a stronger recovery in German industry, as expected 0.8% m / m

The most important events of today will be the ECB meeting. The market does not expect any changes in the interest rates banks Interestingly, however, should be Mario Draghi comments at the press conference. How Draghi said at the last meeting in January, the European economy is already showing some signs of recovery. There will be the publication of a probably very bad GDP numbers for Q4 12 and especially the European economy threatens the current strong euro.Markets may therefore expect if Mario Draghi attempt against strong euro talk.

In the U.S., we will see the traditional weekly applications for unemployment benefits. SG expected to reduce their number by 15 thousand. Compared to the previous week to 355 thousand.

Author: Marek Dřímal

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