Grant Capital (Grant Capital)
Markets  |  February 08, 2013 21:52:06

U.S. Markets - recap the past, 6 week, and the outlook for the week from 11 Second

This week's events:

The past week was not in terms of market development is not very significant, indeed quite the contrary and major indexes held near highs achieved. Despite a significant decline on Monday, but it was rather due to the developments in Europe, indexes ended the week with a profit and close to the newly created highs reaching the point values ??obtainedin 2007. Monday's decline was on Tuesday cleared immediately and the rest of the week trying indices rather break resistance. In the case of the S & P 500 that was borderline 1,515 points, which was the approximate maximum already at the end of the fifth week. On Friday, the index metu also managed to overcome even by 3 points. In terms of macro data this week also did not bring any revolutionary information. One could rather say that macros have been mixed. Number of applications in unemployment increased slightly, on the contrary, decreased trade deficit has decreased the number of corporate orders and improved economic optimism index.
With the development in Europe was also a weakening of EUR / USD, which lost around 1.37 from the values ??obtained at the end of last week, up to Friday's 1.3350. This had an impact on commodities. Oil prices lost of around 98 USD per barrel for the final $ 95.8 per barrel. Gold stabilize the situation better and week concluded to close last week, with virtually no motion at near 1669 USD per ounce.
By sectors had the largest negative impact week just on the basic materials sector and this gave 1.8%. Others moved with unremarkable changes. Best-led consumer goods sector with an increase of 0.2%.
If we assess the development of the S & P 500 from a technical point of view, it is still a significant long-term growth trend intermittent corrections, whose distinctive resistant line is at 1,576 points, which is a maximum of 2007. From the perspective of the daily chart, the index is in overbought zone and also other indicators suggest the possibility of impending correction. However, when we get closer look easy also to the fact that growth can continue, taking into account the evolution of the index as indicators like MACD at the turn of the year 2009-2010-2011. Situation where there was a divergence index and MACD are almost identical. On the weekly chart, we can see that this situation could take several weeks, without any significant correction. In short, optical index is "ripe for a correction" but indicators and technical analysis so far suggests decline only very vaguely.The question is whether the development does not put back the politicians who recently more or less disappeared from the scene.

Events next week:

Macro data next week will bring some interesting data.These included, for example, retail sales Wednesday, Thursday at the request of unemployment, or week closing index of industrial production and consumer sentiment. Beginning of the week will be from the perspective of macro or less uninteresting.
A complete overview of the expected macro data, visit

Model portfolio:

In the 6th week model portfolio traded SWC, SFY and X also bought NVDA and TTM.
Details about the model portfolio, visit:


Společnost GRANT CAPITAL se specializuje na zprostředkování obchodů s akciemi na burzách v ČR, Evropě a USA. Pro více informací navštivte
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