Research (Česká spořitelna)
Macroeconomics  |  February 14, 2013 10:56:34

Morning dose data on GDP in the world generally disappointing


Morning dose data on GDP generally disappointing, though not dramatically. In the most important German GDP fell in the fourth quarter instead of the expected half percentage by 0.6%. Although we do not know yet the exact structure (to be published next week 2.22), but the statistical office was mainly due to decrease in weaker export performance and investment. Household consumption and government spending increased slightly. However, the data suggest that the performance of the German economy is improving, so it is not likely that Germany fell into technical recession (two consecutive quarters of decline). More than expected GDP also fell in France (0.3% -0.2% expected), suggesting that either some poor performance in the whole of EMU.Recession in France, according to the data in contrast to Germany's probable. Euro responded slight weakening in 1345 slightly below 1340. Thirdly disappointing Japanese people, which GDP declined by 0.1% QoQ, expected to grow by 0.1%. The Japanese have a stronger case for keeping aggressive monetary policy against accusations of manipulating the exchange rate yen.

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