Investiční bankovnictví (Komerční banka)
Currencies  |  February 18, 2013 17:25:00

Crown during the quiet early in the week slightly increased


Week beginning was to calm Central European markets due to the current holiday in the U.S. and due to the fact that we have not seen any in the region kurzotvorných significant factors. Crown over its value Friday strengthened by less than two tenths of one percent to the level of 25.38 CZK / EUR, the Hungarian forint scored even one-third percent. Macroeconomic data were published only in Poland. The January employment rose by 0.6% m / m and thus slightly exceeded market expectations (0.5%). Year on year, however, employment in Poland decreased by 0.8% y / y (market -0.9%). The average gross wage in Poland recorded growth of just 0.4% y / y, while the market expected 1.0%. Zloty as the only central European currency against the euro today, not reinforced, and its course over its Friday so the final value of 4,188 PLN / EUR change.

Tomorrow will see another January data from Poland. We will be particularly interested in industrial production, which analysts had expected to decline by 3.0% y / y. Will be made public and industrial producer prices, which should increase according to market consensus of 0.2% m / m The most important indicator for the region, however, will be tomorrow's German ZEW index in February, which would have seen a slight rise and point to further improvement in investor sentiment in the financial markets.

Czech swap curve today fell by about 3 bp along its entire length.

Author: Marek Dřímal

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