Investiční bankovnictví (Komerční banka)
Currencies  |  February 22, 2013 15:45:00

The koruna is close CNB forecast

Czech currency against the euro during the week slightly weakened when the course during Friday's session stabilized just below the 25.50 level. In the first half week course held while still underwater 25.40 CZK / EUR. Compared to the end of the previous week, the koruna depreciated by almost one third percent. On the contrary, the Polish zloty by more than three quarters percent strengthened Hungarian forint ultimately stagnated.

The very end of the week in the forex market was quiet. No response has remained statistics published in January, the industrial producer price trends despite rise in prices recorded a 1.1% m / m significantly exceeded market expectations of 0.7% m / m In annual terms in January were higher by 1.4%. Greater price dynamics was observed also in prices of agricultural producers. They are in January rose by 2.3% m / m compared to January of the previous year were higher by 15.4% y / y.This indicates that even after a few months, food prices in the consumer basket may increase on further developments in the rest of the year, chooses a new crop of home prices and development of agricultural commodities in the world.

With the current development of the central bank may be satisfied. The course had got close to the value of 25.50 CZK / EUR, which is the level that the average for the first quarter, the central bank expected. The actual average rate since the beginning of this year, reaching 25.49. For further development of the course will be from the perspective of domestic fundamentals important published economic indicators that come in the first half of March, and in the light of the CNB forecast. If cumulated anti-inflation numbers, it will be an argument for a weaker domestic currency. Next week, however, no major bring home number.Exchange rate will in particular monitor the developments in the external environment and the global financial markets.

Author: Jan Vejmělek

Tyto zprávy pro vás vytváří Investiční bankovnictví KB.
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