Currencies  |  April 11, 2013 13:19:35

The S & P 500 at 1589.07

In the market we see a good mood after yesterday, new historical maximách on U.S. promotions. Ultimate calendar is empty and we wait until tomorrow some more fundamental publication. Fed Minutes was neutral and are based whereas mixed voices (whether sprísňovať monetary policy, or later), the market chose the option that currently has not yet and will not do anything These involve the top. Certain risk remains to Cyprus, where he probably will grow the cost of rescuing and will also shave the holders of government bonds, but the market while it pays no attention. It will be interesting, as in other months will be mutually "inspired" Greece and Cyprus. Greece montage savers prefer to make the pattern Cyprus, Cyprus wants to do now haircut for bond holders following the example of Greece.

Yesterday's FOMC Minutes sadly set in motion the whole market. First, had been published about 5 hours earlier, whereas the Fed mistakenly sent it before even the Senate also the trade groups. Aftermarket bit scared of vocabulary change, since it does not couple (few) but Several (some) members of the FOMC would like to see more QE limit later this year. But then suddenly a voice heard from the debate on monetary policy sprísňovaní are premature and it is combined with Bernanke's recent words that the labor market is still not that what the Fed wanted to see. Then, came the turning point, that we see on the graph below. Blue gold, čiernym U.S. stocks, euro čiernym and green German stocks.

German shares were yesterday's lowest cost compared to the U.S. in recent months and this is why it grow faster. This pushes up euro and also maintains a good mood in the market. What is more interesting is the fact that commodities do not know to use weak USD. Precious metals fell yesterday (the capital at the moment he shed in the shares of gold), oil on the market is more than enough and therefore can not grow more pronounced and basic materials are also on the defensive.

The question is, how long will last a good mood in actions. New peak maxima also have, is beginning to earnings season and gains not grow as quickly as the share price. Shares are becoming more expensive with regard to how much I earn. April and generally turning point of the first with the second kvartálom was also excellent for shares in the past three years, but then found it rather hard downward correction.Right this may become longer in the coming days and weeks, and we become firms disappointing results. But lead is reason to always have something bogus, the key is to take profits early.

In general, however, we probably begins with clear spill capital. Shares confirm the trend growth, and may not start lower and gold is only up to them to do the exact opposite by breaking levels in 1540 would accrue began a downward trend, since it would create lower bottom than last year. But still nepredbiehajme, market risk is enough and even if trust is huge, it has its margin. Mind you, the latest data from the U.S. (especially ISM and labor market) came under expectations.

Today is significantly Dari NZD (NZDUSD +1%) whereas housing prices have grown by double-digit pace, which will surely please remember even the Americans from 2004 - 2005. Right out of fear of large bubbles RBNZ has indicated that it may raise rates.Let's see, which in turn will do landscape with its strong currency, as it will hinder export landscape.

Author: Thomas Swimmer | TRIM Broker, as | Trading on exchanges TRIM Broker

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